Regime Change vs. Regime Continuation Gap Narrows to Within Margin of Error
Impeachment Acceptance Leads by 6.9 Points, Party Support Remains Neck and Neck
A public opinion poll released on the 24th showed that the gap between the 'regime continuation theory' and the 'regime change theory' is within the margin of error.
In a preference survey for the next presidential election ruling power conducted by the polling specialist Realmeter on behalf of Energy Economy Newspaper from the 20th to the 21st, the opinion of 'regime change by the opposition' fell by 2.5 percentage points to 49.0%, while 'regime continuation by the ruling party' rose by 0.8 percentage points to 45.3%. The gap between the two opinions, which was 7 percentage points last week, narrowed again to 3.7 percentage points within the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points) in just one week.
By party support, 91.2% of People Power Party supporters favored regime continuation, while 94.9% of Democratic Party supporters strongly supported regime change.
By ideological inclination, 72.6% of conservatives expected regime continuation, and 80.8% of progressives hoped for regime change. Among centrists, regime change (56.5%) was more favored than regime continuation (38.3%).
Realmeter analyzed, "The opinion of 'regime change' mainly shifted to 'regime continuation' among those in their 20s and over 70s, in the Chungcheong region, and among progressives," adding, "Among centrists, the opinion for regime change was somewhat dominant."
As President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment trial enters its final phase, the Constitutional Court recorded a majority opinion of 52.0% in favor of 'accepting the impeachment and dismissing him.' The public opinion for 'rejecting the impeachment and reinstating him' was 45.1%. The difference between the two sides was 6.9 percentage points, with the 'impeachment acceptance' response showing a slight lead outside the margin of error.
In party support, the People Power Party rose by 1.3 percentage points to 42.7%, while the Democratic Party fell by 2.0 percentage points to 41.1%. The gap between the two parties was 1.6 percentage points, continuing a close race within the margin of error for the fourth consecutive week.
This survey attempted calls to 14,184 voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with a final 1,006 respondents completing the survey. For detailed information, refer to the website of the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission.
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