Han Ducksoo Leads Kim Moonsu with 30% as Unified Conservative Candidate... Lee Jaemyung Tops in Three-Way Race

Lee Jaemyung 46.6%, Kim Moonsu 27.8%, Lee Junseok 7.5%
Lee Jaemyung 46.5%, Han Ducksoo 34.3%, Lee Junseok 5.9%
Suitability for Unified Conservative Candidate: "None/Don't know" 48.2%

On May 5, it was revealed that in a poll measuring the suitability of a unified conservative candidate for the next presidential election, independent candidate and former Prime Minister Han Ducksoo recorded 30.0%, while Kim Moonsu, the People Power Party's presidential candidate, received 21.9%. In a hypothetical three-way race for the next presidential election, Lee Jaemyung, the Democratic Party candidate, led the field.

According to a survey conducted by the polling agency Realmeter at the request of Energy Economy News from April 30 to May 2, targeting 1,509 adults aged 18 and over nationwide, support in a hypothetical three-way presidential race was as follows: Lee Jaemyung 46.6%, Kim Moonsu 27.8%, and Lee Junseok, the Reform Party presidential candidate, 7.5%.

In a hypothetical three-way race including Han Ducksoo, who recently officially declared his presidential bid, the results were: Lee Jaemyung 46.5%, Han Ducksoo 34.3%, and Lee Junseok 5.9%.

Suitability of the Next Presidential Election Conservative Unified Candidate. Provided by Realmeter.

In the suitability poll asking, "If Han and Kim unify as a single conservative candidate, who do you think should ultimately be the unified conservative candidate?" Han Ducksoo was selected by 30.0% of respondents. This result puts him ahead of Kim Moonsu (21.9%) by 8.1 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error.

The responses "none" and "don't know" were 40.2% and 8.0%, respectively.

Among conservatives, Han received 45.6% and Kim 25.9%. Among moderates, Han received 25.9% and Kim 20.2%. Among progressives, Han received 14.9% and Kim 20.1%.

Realmeter analyzed, "It appears that public opinion slightly favors Han as the unified candidate, as he is assessed to have greater appeal to moderates compared to Kim." However, they added, "Since the proportion of reserved responses remains high, the method of unification and whether Han joins the People Power Party will likely be important variables affecting the presidential race going forward."

This survey was conducted using a 100% wireless automated response system and random digit dialing. The margin of error is ±2.5 percentage points at a 95% confidence level, and the response rate was 6.4%. For more details, refer to the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission.