[Akyeong Poll] Lee Nak-yeon Closing in on Lee Jae-myung... Support Rate Gap 7.6%P

Lee Nak-yeon Closely Chasing Lee Jae-myung
Gap Narrows from 12.7%P to 7.6%P

[Asia Economy Reporter Koo Chae-eun] Former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon has closely trailed Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myung, narrowing the gap in support between the two candidates to 7.6 percentage points. Although the difference remains outside the margin of error, the gap between the two candidates has shrunk from 12.7 percentage points to 7.6 percentage points. Governor Lee's support dropped by 3.2 percentage points (from 33.3% to 30.1%) compared to the previous survey (August 7-8), amid a series of setbacks including the controversy over the appointment of Hwang Kyo-ik as president of the Gyeonggi Tourism Organization and the ‘tteokbokki YouTube filming’ incident during the Icheon fire. Meanwhile, former leader Lee's support rose by 1.9 percentage points to 22.5% during the same period.

On the 24th, Asia Economy commissioned Win-G Korea Consulting to conduct a public opinion poll from the 21st to 22nd targeting 1,024 voters aged 18 and over nationwide (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response). The poll showed Governor Lee's support within the Democratic Party at 30.1%, while former leader Lee Nak-yeon’s support was 22.5%. Lawmaker Park Yong-jin received 7.0%, former Minister of Justice Choo Mi-ae 6.6%, former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun 5.3%, and lawmaker Kim Du-kwan 1.8%. Other figures accounted for 3.4%, with 20.5% responding none and 2.8% unsure.

Governor Lee was more favored by men (33.8%) than women (26.5%), whereas former leader Lee Nak-yeon had more female supporters (26.8%) than male (18.2%). In a suitability survey among Democratic Party supporters, Governor Lee led with 52.6%, holding a majority, followed by Lee Nak-yeon at 32.4%, Choo Mi-ae at 5.5%, Chung Sye-kyun at 3.8%, Kim Du-kwan at 1.2%, and Park Yong-jin at 0.9%.

By region, except for Gwangju-Jeolla (Governor Lee 30.1%, former leader Lee 35.2%) and Daegu-Gyeongbuk (Governor Lee 18.7%, former leader Lee 20.1%), Governor Lee led former leader Lee in all other regions. Governor Lee’s support surpassed former leader Lee’s in Seoul (26.7%, 24.5%), Gyeonggi-Incheon (33.9%, 19.8%), Daejeon-Sejong-Chungcheong (26.8%, 21.5%), Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam (34.5%, 23.3%), and Gangwon-Jeju (37.4%, 9.8%).

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from the 21st to 22nd targeting voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with 1,024 respondents and an overall response rate of 7.0%. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighted values by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, please refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.