91% vs 9%.
The New York Times (NYT) reported that the probability of former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, winning surged to 91% as of 12:30 AM Eastern Time on the 6th (2:30 PM Korean Time on the 6th). The probability of Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential candidate, winning was only 9%. As the vote counting progresses, former President Trump's chances of winning continue to rise.
NYT analyzed that former President Trump would secure 301 out of 538 electoral votes, while Vice President Harris would take the remaining 237.
According to the current AP tally, former President Trump has secured 230 votes, leading Vice President Harris, who has 205 votes.
As the presidential vote counting continues, former President Trump is showing an advantage in the seven battleground states. In North Carolina, which has 16 electoral votes, former President Trump is predicted to win with 50.8% of the vote counted at 89%, surpassing Vice President Harris's 48.1%. In Georgia (16 electoral votes), with over 95% of the votes counted, Trump leads with 51% to Harris's 48%.
In the other five battleground states?Pennsylvania (19 votes), Arizona (11 votes), Wisconsin (10 votes), and Michigan (15 votes)?former President Trump is currently in a favorable position. In Wisconsin and Michigan, Trump's vote shares are 51% and 54%, respectively, ahead of Vice President Harris.
According to CNN, former President Trump is watching the election results with family and major donors at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.
As news of Trump's overwhelming lead in the vote counting continues to emerge, the market is experiencing a "Trump trade."
© The Asia Business Daily(www.asiae.co.kr). All rights reserved.
![Clutching a Stolen Dior Bag, Saying "I Hate Being Poor but Real"... The Grotesque Con of a "Human Knockoff" [Slate]](https://cwcontent.asiae.co.kr/asiaresize/183/2026021902243444107_1771435474.jpg)
