Trump Leads Biden in 5 out of 6 Battleground States

NYT Poll... Trump Leads in Both One-on-One and Multi-Candidate Races
Young Democratic Supporters and Hispanic Support Rates Also Tied

Former President Donald Trump, who is running in the upcoming November presidential election, appears to be leading President Joe Biden in most battleground states that will determine the election outcome.

On the 13th (local time), The New York Times (NYT), in collaboration with the Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College, conducted a poll from October 28 to November 9 targeting 4,097 registered voters in six battleground states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin). The results showed that former President Trump led President Biden in five states except Wisconsin.

Former President Trump had a 50% approval rating in Nevada, significantly ahead of President Biden's 38%. In Georgia, Trump also led with 49% support compared to Biden's 39%. In Arizona and Michigan, Trump held a 49% approval rating, leading Biden who had 42% in both states. In Pennsylvania, Trump slightly led with 47% support over Biden's 44%.

Only in Wisconsin did President Biden lead with 47% support, ahead of former President Trump's 45%.

[Image source=Yonhap News]

In a multi-candidate race including independent candidates such as Robert Kennedy Jr., former President Trump also showed an advantage.

Trump received between 38% and 41% support in five states except Wisconsin, leading President Biden by as little as 4 percentage points and as much as 14 percentage points. In Wisconsin, Biden and Trump were tied at 38% support each.

The NYT stated, "This poll confirms that voters have serious doubts about President Biden's ability to improve the lives of Americans," and diagnosed that "voters in battleground states have a strong desire for change."

Conflicts between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas, inflation, and other issues are also hampering President Biden. Notably, Biden has been unable to overcome declining support among young voters and people of color, who were key support bases in his 2020 election victory.

President Biden and former President Trump recorded equal support among young voters aged 18-29 and Hispanic voters. Trump also received over 20% support from Black voters, which is among the highest levels ever received by a Republican candidate.