[Asia Economy Reporter Kang Nahum] With the June 1 nationwide local elections just 16 days away, a poll released on the 16th showed that in two out of three metropolitan area local governments, the People Power Party candidates are leading the Democratic Party candidates.
A survey on support for local government head candidates was conducted from the 14th to the 15th among 5,202 men and women aged 18 and over (Seoul 1,000, Incheon 801, Gyeonggi 1,000, Gangwon 801, Chungbuk 800, Chungnam 800) commissioned by the three terrestrial broadcasters KBS, MBC, and SBS to Ipsos (Incheon, Chungnam), Korea Research (Seoul, Gangwon), and Hankook Research (Gyeonggi, Chungbuk). The results showed that the People Power Party candidates were ahead in Seoul and Incheon. In Gyeonggi, the People Power Party and Democratic Party candidates were in a close race within the margin of error.
Specifically, in the Seoul mayoral candidate support survey, Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party received 49.1% support, leading Song Young-gil of the Democratic Party, who received 29.5%. The gap between the two candidates was 19.6 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). When asked about the likelihood of winning regardless of support, 66.0% of respondents chose Oh, while 18.4% chose Song.
In the Incheon mayoral candidate survey, Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party recorded 37.5%, while the current mayor Park Nam-chun of the Democratic Party received 30.4% support. The gap between the two candidates was 7.1 percentage points, also outside the margin of error (±3.5 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). Lee Jeong-mi of the Justice Party received 3.6%.
In the likelihood of winning survey, Yoo received 43.1%, and Park 30.8%.
In the Gyeonggi governor candidate survey, Kim Dong-yeon of the Democratic Party led Kim Eun-hye of the People Power Party by 1.2 percentage points with 37.3% support to 36.1%. It was a close race within the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). Independent candidate Kang Yong-seok received 2.9% support. When asked about the likelihood of winning, 40.3% responded that Kim Dong-yeon would likely win, while 36.8% thought Kim Eun-hye would win, also within the margin of error.
Additionally, in the Gangwon governor candidate survey, Kim Jin-tae of the People Power Party led Lee Kwang-jae of the Democratic Party by 11.2 percentage points with 45.1% to 33.9%. In the Chungbuk governor candidate survey, Kim Young-hwan of the People Power Party led Roh Young-min of the Democratic Party by 15 percentage points with 42.8% to 27.8%.
In Chungnam governor's race, Kim Tae-heum of the People Power Party received 40.5%, and Yang Seung-jo of the Democratic Party received 34.3%. The gap between the two candidates was 6.2 percentage points, within the margin of error (±3.5 percentage points at a 95% confidence level).
This survey was conducted using a wireless telephone interview method (100% virtual numbers). The response rates were 13.9% in Seoul, 14.7% in Incheon, 23.0% in Gyeonggi, 17.7% in Gangwon, 23.8% in Chungbuk, and 16.6% in Chungnam. For detailed information, please refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.
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