"Yoon Seok-yeol 41.4% Lee Jae-myung 36.2% Close Race... Yoon Leads Within Margin of Error"

KSOI Survey "Yoon Leads Within Margin of Error at 41.4%, Lee Drops 1.4 Percentage Points to 36.2%"

Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, has ranked first within the margin of error in a presidential candidate approval rating survey.
[Image source=Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Park Hyun-joo] A public opinion poll shows that in a multi-candidate race, Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-youl, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, are in a close contest within the margin of error. Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, who had shown a steady rise recently, showed a decline compared to the previous week.

According to a survey conducted by the Korea Society Opinion Institute (KSOI) on June 14-15 targeting 1,004 adult men and women nationwide, Yoon’s support rate rose by 6.2 percentage points from the previous week to 41.4%, ranking first within the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). Lee’s support rate fell by 1.4 percentage points from the previous week to 36.2%.

This is the first time in five weeks since the December 10-11, 2023 survey (42.0%) that Yoon’s support rate exceeded 40% in the KSOI poll.

Ahn’s support rate dropped by 5.5 percentage points from the previous week to 9.6%, and Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party, recorded a support rate of 3.6%.

Also, the survey found that the majority view the upcoming presidential election as a 'judgment on the current administration.' In the survey on the 'nature of the next presidential election,' 50.3% responded with the 'judgment on the current administration' (meaning the opposition candidate should win to judge the current government’s administration), while 36.5% responded with the 're-election of the current administration' (meaning the ruling party candidate should win for stable governance and continuity).

The survey was conducted 100% via wireless mobile phone automated response system (ARS), with a response rate of 8.8%. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.