The "January Effect" Discussed Every New Year... Supply and Demand Expectations for KOSDAQ and Small- to Mid-Cap Stocks

At the start of every year, the so-called "January Effect" is frequently discussed in the stock market. The January Effect refers to a phenomenon observed in long-term statistics, where stock prices tend to perform relatively well at the beginning of the year compared to other periods. This effect has often been more pronounced among small and mid-cap stocks, as well as on the KOSDAQ rather than the KOSPI. The improved supply and demand environment is attributed to the reinvestment of funds following year-end tax-loss selling and the rebalancing of portfolios at the start of the year.

However, the January Effect is not a formula that unfolds identically every year; it is merely a recurring trend. Since market expectations may be priced in advance or the trend may shift due to external factors, it is important to consider not only seasonal effects but also earnings improvements and changes in supply and demand when analyzing the market.

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