Last Poll Before Publication Blackout: Lee Jaemyung 49.2% vs Kim Moonsu 36.8% [PollPoll News]

Lee Joonseok Records 10.3% Support
in Realmeter Poll under Current Landscape

In a public opinion poll conducted just before the official survey publication blackout period, the gap in approval ratings between Lee Jaemyung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate, and Kim Moonsu, the People Power Party candidate, was found to have widened.

According to a poll released on May 28 by Realmeter (commissioned by Energy Economy News and conducted over two days, May 26-27, among 1,003 adults aged 18 and older nationwide, using wireless telephone ARS, with a response rate of 10.1% and a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level), Lee Jaemyung's approval rating was 49.2%, up 2.6 percentage points from the previous survey (conducted May 22-23). Kim Moonsu's approval rating was 36.8%, down 0.8 percentage points. Lee Joonseok, the Reform New Party candidate, recorded an approval rating of 10.3%, down 0.1 percentage points.

The gap in approval ratings also widened in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup assuming a single opposition candidate between Kim Moonsu and Lee Joonseok. If Kim Moonsu were the unified candidate, Lee Jaemyung would receive 52.3%, leading Kim Moonsu (41.7%) by 10.6 percentage points. This is a greater gap than the previous margin of 7.2 percentage points. If Lee Joonseok were the unified candidate, Lee Jaemyung would receive 50.6%, leading Lee Joonseok (36.7%) by 13.9 percentage points, which is also a wider margin than the previous 11.9 percentage points.

Regardless of support, when asked about the likelihood of winning, 57.8% of respondents said Lee Jaemyung was most likely to win. Kim Moonsu was cited by 33.8%, and Lee Joonseok by 4.7%.

In terms of party support, the Democratic Party's approval rating rose by 3.3 percentage points to 46.8%. The People Power Party fell by 2.7 percentage points to 35.1%. The Reform New Party rose by 1.2 percentage points to 8.9%.

For more detailed information about the poll, refer to the website of the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission.