With 9 days remaining until the U.S. presidential election, polls released on the 27th (local time) showed a tight race between Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump.
According to a poll conducted by ABC News and Ipsos from the 18th to the 22nd, surveying 2,808 adults nationwide and released on the same day, Vice President Harris had a support rate of 49% among registered voters, while former President Trump had 47%.
Narrowing down to respondents who intend to vote (margin of error ±2.5 percentage points), Harris leads with 51% support compared to Trump's 47%. This widens the gap from earlier this month’s poll, which showed a 2 percentage point difference (Harris 50%, Trump 48%).
By voter groups, Vice President Harris holds an advantage among ▲ women (+14 percentage points) ▲ Black voters (+83 percentage points) ▲ Hispanic voters (+30 percentage points) ▲ college graduates (+22 percentage points), while former President Trump leads among ▲ men (+6 percentage points) ▲ white voters (+11 percentage points) ▲ high school graduates or less (+11 percentage points).
Although Vice President Harris had previously been noted to be weaker among Black male voters compared to previous Democratic presidential candidates, this poll shows she receives substantial support. In this survey, support among Black women was +88 percentage points and among Black men +74 percentage points ahead of former President Trump. These figures surpass those from the 2020 presidential election exit polls, where President Joe Biden led Black men by over +60 percentage points and Black women by over +81 percentage points.
However, among Hispanic men (+27 percentage points), the margin is similar to the 2020 exit polls (+23 percentage points), while among Hispanic women, the margin narrowed to +32 percentage points from +39 percentage points in 2020.
In a poll conducted by CBS News and YouGov from the 23rd to the 25th surveying 2,161 registered voters nationwide and released on the same day, Vice President Harris also showed a slight lead within the margin of error. Among respondents who intend to vote (margin of error ±2.6 percentage points), 50% said they would vote for Harris, and 49% for Trump.
CBS reported that after the September TV debate, the nationwide gap between Vice President Harris and former President Trump was 4 percentage points, but it has now narrowed to 1 percentage point.
Looking only at battleground states, Harris and Trump are tied at 50%. In the September poll, Harris led by 3 percentage points, but two weeks ago, the lead shrank to 1 percentage point.
Former President Trump's support appears to be largely backed by the economy. In the CBS poll, when asked which candidate’s economic policies would be financially beneficial, 30% chose Vice President Harris, while 44% chose former President Trump.
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