Two Leading Candidates for Yeo's Next Presidential Election... Representative Lee Jae-myung 54% vs Mayor Oh Se-hoon 35%

Sisa Journal Presidential Suitability Ratings from August 29 to 31

[Image source=Yonhap News]

Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon received 35% support, the same as People Power Party leader Han Dong-hoon, in a hypothetical one-on-one presidential race against Lee Jae-myung, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea. This has led to speculation that there could be two contenders against Lee Jae-myung within the ruling party.

According to a survey conducted by Sisa Journal from August 29 to 31 through the Korea Opinion & Reputation Research Institute (KOPPA) targeting 2,011 people aged 18 and over nationwide, in a head-to-head matchup between Lee Jae-myung and Mayor Oh Se-hoon, Lee received 54% support while Oh garnered 35%. In this two-person race, 9% responded "none," and 1% said "don't know."

Han Dong-hoon, leader of the People Power Party, and Lee Jae-myung, leader of the Democratic Party of Korea, are shaking hands during a preliminary meeting before the opening ceremony of the 22nd National Assembly and the regular session held on the 2nd in the Speaker's Reception Room at the National Assembly. Photo by Kim Hyun-min kimhyun81@

In a similar head-to-head scenario between Lee Jae-myung and Han Dong-hoon, Lee received 54% support, while Han got 35%. "None" accounted for 9%, and "don't know" was 1%.

Notably, Mayor Oh (44%) led Lee (42%) by 2 percentage points (p) in the Daegu-Gyeongbuk (TK) region. Han (40%) trailed Lee (44%) by 4 percentage points in the TK region. This has sparked speculation that the Lee Jae-myung-Han Dong-hoon race within the ruling and opposition parties could change.

In the matchup between Lee and former Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Won Hee-ryong, Lee received 57%, while Won recorded 29%. In the race between Lee and People Power Party lawmaker Ahn Cheol-soo, Lee had 56%, and Ahn had 27%.

Meanwhile, this survey utilized ARS polling through wireless RDD. The margin of error is ±2.2 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The response rate was 2.1%. For more details, please refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.