Trump Holds Narrow Lead in Georgia and North Carolina
Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former Republican President Donald Trump in 5 out of 7 key battleground states in the U.S. presidential election, according to election prediction results.
On the 17th (local time), according to the American news weekly Newsweek, the 'Silver Bulletin,' the U.S. presidential election prediction model by Nate Silver, a renowned American statistician and political analyst, reported that Vice President Harris's nationwide approval rating was 46.7%, 2.4 percentage points ahead of former President Trump's 44.3%.
Although the results still show Vice President Harris in the lead, the gap has narrowed compared to when she was ahead by 3.1 percentage points.
In Pennsylvania, Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 2.1 percentage points with 46.6% to 44.7%, and in Wisconsin, Harris (47.3%) is ahead of Trump, who has 44.1%, by 3.2%.
In Michigan, Vice President Harris (46%) holds a 2.9 percentage point lead over former President Trump (43.1%). Additionally, in Arizona (45.2% to 44.0%) and Nevada (45% to 44.3%), Harris leads Trump by a narrow margin of around 1 percentage point.
Former President Trump shows a slight lead over Vice President Harris in Georgia (45.4%, 46.3%) by 0.9 percentage points and in North Carolina (45.5%, 46.3%) by 0.8 percentage points.
The Silver Bulletin is a proprietary election prediction model that aggregates nationwide poll results and assigns weights to polls with higher reliability. Silver previously predicted the victories of former President Barack Obama in 2012 and President Joe Biden in 2020.
Although Silver founded it, he is no longer involved in its operation, and the national polling average on ABC News's election-specialized site 'FiveThirtyEight' (538) shows Vice President Harris leading in 4 of the 7 battleground states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona.
Former President Trump leads in Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina.
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