Survey on Next Leaders: Han Dong-hoon and Oh Se-hoon Tie for 1st Place... Lee Jae-myung Leads in the Opposition Party

Joint 1st Place at 15% Each, Han Dong-hoon Leads by 1%p Among Conservatives
Lee Jae-myung Tops Progressive Camp with 55% Support from Progressives
Yoon's Approval Rating Dead Cross... "Doing Poorly" 51% > "Doing Well" 45%

Minister of Justice Han Dong-hoon (left), Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon (right)

[Asia Economy Intern Reporter Yoonjin Kim] In a survey on the next leader of the ruling party, Minister of Justice Han Dong-hoon tied for first place with Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon. Attention on Minister Han has shown little sign of decline. In the opposition camp, Lee Jae-myung, a member of the Democratic Party, showed an overwhelming lead.

According to Research View, a polling firm, the survey conducted from May 28 to 30 among 1,000 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older found that in the suitability survey for the next conservative political leader, Minister Han and Mayor Oh each received 15%, tying for first place. They were followed by Daegu Mayor Hong Joon-pyo (12%), former lawmaker Yoo Seung-min (9%), and lawmaker Ahn Cheol-soo (8%).

Among conservative respondents, Minister Han received 23%, closely competing with Mayor Oh at 22%, a 1 percentage point difference. Minister Han and Mayor Oh ranked first and second across all age groups, but in the 20s (including ages 18 and 19), Mayor Hong led with 16%, and in the 30s, former lawmaker Yoo ranked first with 15%.

Meanwhile, in the suitability survey for the next progressive political leader, Lee Jae-myung led with 33%, followed by former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon (15%), Gyeonggi Province Governor Kim Dong-yeon (11%), and lawmaker Shim Sang-jung (5%). In the progressive camp, 55% pointed to Lee, showing a clear advantage.

Regarding President Yoon Suk-yeol's performance evaluation, negative assessments outnumbered positive ones. Those who responded that President Yoon is performing poorly accounted for 51% (43% very poorly, 8% somewhat poorly), while those who said he is performing well accounted for 45% (29% very well, 16% somewhat well). Compared to the previous survey conducted from May 28 to 30, negative evaluations rose by 11 percentage points, while positive evaluations fell by 8 percentage points.

The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The survey was conducted via an ARS automated response system targeting 1,000 mobile phone subscribers, with a response rate of 4.8%. Detailed information can be found on the Research View blog and the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.