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"If Vaccines and Treatments Don't Emerge, 287,000 Daily COVID-19 Cases Expected in India by End of Next Year"

US, South Africa, Iran, Indonesia Expected to See Surge in Confirmed Cases
Indian Media Cites Unpublished MIT Paper

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] A study has revealed that if no vaccine or treatment is developed, the number of confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in India could reach 287,000 by the end of next year.


According to Indian media such as the Hindustan Times on the 9th, researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the United States stated that if no solution for COVID-19 treatment is found, the number of confirmed cases could increase significantly. According to this study, following India, a large number of new confirmed cases are expected in the United States (95,000), South Africa (21,000), Iran (17,000), and Indonesia (13,000).


This study has not yet been published in academic journals.


The researchers noted regarding this study, "These projections are influenced by several sensitive factors such as the number of tests and policy responses," and emphasized, "It should be interpreted as a potential risk indicator rather than an exact future prediction." They also suggested that continuous testing, awareness of risks, and reducing contacts could decrease the number of cases.


According to the international statistics site Worldometer, India currently has a cumulative total of 769,052 confirmed COVID-19 cases, ranking third in the world for the highest number of confirmed cases. The daily new confirmed cases are 25,571.


Meanwhile, in the United States, which has the highest number of COVID-19 cases worldwide, 61,848 new confirmed cases were reported the previous day, bringing the cumulative total to 3,158,932 confirmed cases.


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