[Hotbed Public Opinion - Incheon Yeonsu-eul] Jeong Ilyeong and Min Kyungwook 'Neck and Neck'... Lee Jungmi 'Chasing'

Jeong Il-young, the Democratic Party candidate, Min Kyung-wook, the United Future Party candidate, and Lee Jung-mi, the Justice Party candidate running in Yeonsu-eul, Incheon (from left in the photo).
Photo by each candidate

[Asia Economy Reporter Jin-Young Hwang] Yeonsu-eul, the largest battleground in Incheon, is forming a three-way race among Jeong Il-young, a former bureaucrat and candidate from the Democratic Party of Korea, Min Kyung-wook, who made a comeback after being cut off from the United Future Party nomination, and Lee Jeong-mi, former leader of the Justice Party.

In a public opinion poll conducted by MBC through Korea Research on the 5th and 6th targeting 504 voters aged 18 and over residing in the Incheon Yeonsu-eul electoral district, Jeong received 31.7% and Min 33.7%.

The gap between the two candidates is within the margin of error at 2 percentage points, making it difficult to determine a clear winner.

Lee is trailing the two candidates with 24%.

Among the active voters who said they would "definitely vote," the gap between Jeong and Min was also 2 percentage points.

When asked about the likelihood of winning, Min showed a significant lead with 47.1%, compared to Jeong's 26.1% and Lee's 9.8%.

This survey was conducted via landline and mobile phone interviews (landline 9% + mobile 91%), with a response rate of 17.5%.

The sampling error is ±4.4 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

In a poll conducted by KBS through Hankook Research from the 2nd to the 4th, Jeong and Min were tied at 33.5%.

Lee received 22.6%.

Similar to the MBC-Korea Research poll, Jeong and Min are engaged in a fierce race for the lead, with Lee trailing behind.

When asked about the candidate most likely to win, Min received 40.6% and Jeong 32.7%.

Lee was at 11.3%.

Party support rates were 40.2% for the Democratic Party, 28.2% for the United Future Party, and 9.6% for the Justice Party.

Jeong's support is 6.7 percentage points lower than the Democratic Party's support rate, while Min's support is 5.3 percentage points higher than the United Future Party's support rate.

This survey was conducted via landline and mobile phone interviews (landline 9.8% + mobile 90.2%) targeting 500 men and women aged 18 and over residing in Yeonsu-eul, with a response rate of 17.8%.

The sampling error is ±4.4 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

For more details, please refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

Yeonsu-eul in Incheon is traditionally considered a conservative stronghold.

Before being divided into Gap and Eul districts, former Saenuri Party leader Hwang Woo-yeo served four consecutive terms from 2000.

In the last general election, Min won with 32,963 votes (44.35%).

However, Min faced setbacks during the United Future Party nomination process, including being cut off and having his nomination canceled, which disrupted his preparation for the main election.

Min is appealing for support, saying he has "died twice and come back to life."

On the other hand, Jeong and Lee secured their nominations early and have been cultivating their voter base.

Jeong, who served as Director of the Transportation Policy Bureau at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport and as President of Incheon International Airport Corporation, emphasizes that he is the right person for regional development.

Lee, who entered the 20th National Assembly as a proportional representative, is now challenging a constituency seat.

Having served as leader of the Justice Party, Lee has high recognition and has long been active in Yeonsu-gu, which he highlights as a strength.