Director Bong Joon-ho's Chances of Winning Best Director Are 1 in 6... Highest Probability for International Film Award
The possibility of the film "Parasite" winning the Academy Award (Oscar) for Best Picture was predicted at 1 in 10 on the American film award betting site GoldDerby.com. According to the site on the 20th (local time), "Parasite" ranks third in winning probability, following "1917" and "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" (both at 1 in 9).
This result is based on votes from film critics, various media editors, and site users. The gap between the three films is not large, so a close contest is expected until the end. In fact, the winning chances of "Parasite" have shown a gradual upward curve throughout the awards season. Receiving the highest honor, "Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture," at the previous day's Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards contributed to this progress. On the other hand, "1917" and "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" have shown slight declines or stagnation. Other competitors such as "The Irishman" (1 in 13), "Joker" (1 in 14), "Jojo Rabbit," and "Marriage Story" (both at 1 in 15) are effectively trailing in the competition.
Director Bong Joon-ho's chance of winning the Oscar for Best Director for "Parasite" was predicted at 1 in 6. He ranks second, following Sam Mendes for "1917" (1 in 6). Next are Quentin Tarantino for "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" (2 in 13) and Martin Scorsese for "The Irishman" (1 in 7).
The category where "Parasite" is most likely to win is Best International Feature Film, with odds of 1 in 5, the highest. It ranks second in Best Original Screenplay and Best Film Editing, with odds of 1 in 6 and 2 in 13, respectively. In Best Production Design, it ranks third with odds of 2 in 13.
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